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Re: [LUG] If you don't Vote, you can't whinge..

 

On Thu, May 5, 2011 at 5:35 PM, Guy Backhouse wrote:
> I will be voting No to AV, our existing system historically has been
> fine what has let it down is the sheep like element in the voters who
> can only think to vote Lib. Lab or Con.

If you see elections as an opportunity to express your preferred
candidate then yes, you may argue people are sheep-like and should
look beyond the three (two-and-a-half) big parties. If you see them as
an opportunity to, well, elect a candidate it makes sense to vote for
someone who stands a half-decent chance of actually being elected.

My ward is a Con-LibDem two-way marginal and has been so for some
time. So even if you actually want to vote Labour, Greens or UKIP it
makes sense to vote your preferred choice among these two parties. But
perhaps there are many Labour voters who could have their candidate
elected, if only they all voted Labour, for which they would have to
know about the existence of fellow Labour voters, which they don't,
because it isn't shown in the results.

Of course, if you're into game theory and compute Nash equilibria in
your free time, the current system is probably crystal clear. For
everyone else I suggest a system where you can put your candidates in
order of preference -- without any need to understand the way the
system works -- such as AV.

> AV is more expensive, is more
> complicated, so it will be more vulnerable to fraudulence which is
> already showing increased risks with more postal voting options, maybe
> online too in the future?

I don't see how a complicating system is linked to fraud. I know
postal voting increases the risk of fraud (and I think online voting
is a bad idea) but I don't see how this has anything to do with the
voting system. If anything, a 'simpler' voting system, with only one
vote, seems easier to abuse for fraudulence reasons.

Martijn.

PS Ask a group of geeks what their favourite OS is, giving them the
options of Windows, Mac, Ubuntu, Debian, Fedora, RedHat and SuSE. Even
if many of the geeks like Linux, Windows is likely to come out first
under FPTP. One of the Linuxes might win under AV.

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